Nitish Kumar won’t be CM even if NDA wins Bihar, claims Asaduddin Owaisi amid rising political churn

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AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi has stirred fresh controversy in Bihar’s pre-election landscape by declaring that Nitish Kumar will not be the chief minister even if the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) wins the upcoming assembly polls. Speaking at a rally in Kishanganj on September 24, 2025, Owaisi alleged that Kumar’s political relevance is waning and that the BJP is preparing to install a new face as the next CM of Bihar.

“Nitish Kumar is just a placeholder. Even if NDA wins, he won’t be the chief minister. The BJP has already decided to replace him,” Owaisi said, triggering sharp reactions from both NDA allies and opposition leaders. His remarks come at a time when Bihar’s political equations are shifting rapidly, with caste alignments, alliance strategies, and leadership ambitions dominating the discourse.

Bihar Political Landscape – Key Players and Alliances (2025)

Party / AllianceLeader / CM FaceCurrent StatusElection Strategy
NDA (BJP + JD(U))Nitish Kumar (JD(U))Incumbent governmentDevelopment + caste outreach
INDIA Bloc (RJD + Congress + Left)Tejashwi Yadav (RJD)Main oppositionYouth + social justice plank
AIMIM + Smaller PartiesNo CM face declaredRegional challengerMinority + backward caste focus
LJP (Ram Vilas)Chirag PaswanIndependent contestDalit consolidation

Owaisi’s statement is being seen as a strategic attempt to destabilize the NDA’s narrative and sow doubts among JD(U) loyalists. Political analysts suggest that the AIMIM is trying to position itself as a kingmaker in case of a fractured mandate, especially in Seemanchal and other minority-dominated regions.

JD(U) leaders have dismissed Owaisi’s claim as “baseless and provocative.” Senior leader Vijay Kumar Chaudhary said, “Nitish Kumar is the face of NDA in Bihar. There is no ambiguity. Owaisi is trying to mislead voters.”

However, BJP’s silence on the issue has added fuel to speculation. While no official denial has been issued, insiders say the party is keeping its options open and may push for a generational shift in leadership post-elections.

Nitish Kumar’s Political Journey – Timeline of Key Shifts

YearPolitical Event / ShiftImpact on Bihar Politics
2005Becomes CM with BJP supportEnds RJD’s 15-year rule
2013Breaks alliance with BJP over ModiJoins hands with RJD, Congress
2017Returns to NDA, forms government againRealignment of caste equations
2022Joins INDIA bloc, exits NDAShort-lived opposition experiment
2024Rejoins NDA ahead of Lok Sabha pollsStrategic comeback, but weakened base

Owaisi’s remarks also reflect growing unease among regional parties about Nitish Kumar’s flip-flop alliances and diminishing electoral clout. AIMIM, which won five seats in the 2020 assembly polls, is now targeting over 20 constituencies and has forged informal understandings with smaller caste-based outfits.

The INDIA bloc, led by Tejashwi Yadav, has seized the moment to question the NDA’s internal coherence. “Even their allies don’t trust each other. Bihar needs stability, not confusion,” Yadav said at a press conference in Patna.

Public Sentiment – Reaction to Owaisi’s Nitish Kumar Remark

PlatformEngagement LevelSentiment (%)Top Hashtags
Twitter/X1.8M mentions72% skeptical#NitishKumar #OwaisiStatement
Facebook1.5M interactions78% curious#BiharPolitics #CMRace2025
YouTube1.2M views80% analytical#OwaisiVsNitish #BiharElectionDebate
Instagram980K views75% mixed#BiharCM2025 #PoliticalTwist

Political observers believe that the BJP may eventually project a younger leader from its own ranks, such as Nityanand Rai or Tarkishore Prasad, especially if the party secures a majority on its own. Nitish Kumar’s age, health, and repeated alliance shifts have reportedly created internal discomfort within the NDA.

Meanwhile, Owaisi continues to sharpen his campaign rhetoric, focusing on issues like minority representation, education, and unemployment. His party is banking on ground-level mobilization and social media outreach to expand its footprint.

AIMIM’s Bihar Strategy – Constituency Focus and Themes

Region / ZoneTarget SeatsKey Issues RaisedCampaign Tools Used
Seemanchal12Minority rights, flood reliefDoor-to-door, WhatsApp groups
Magadh6Education, healthcareLocal influencers, rallies
Mithila4Unemployment, infrastructureYouth outreach, social media
Bhojpur3Caste equity, land rightsCommunity meetings

As the election season intensifies, Nitish Kumar’s leadership will remain under scrutiny—not just from rivals, but also from within his alliance. Whether Owaisi’s prediction holds true or not, the remark has already reshaped the narrative and added a new layer of uncertainty to Bihar’s political theatre.

Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available political statements, media reports, and verified election data. It does not constitute political endorsement or commentary. All quotes are attributed to public figures and institutions as per coverage. The content is intended for editorial and informational purposes only.

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