Vice President Election 2025: NDA Set for Victory, But Opposition Eyes Cross-Voting Twist

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As India votes today to elect its 15th Vice President, the numbers clearly favour the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), which has fielded Maharashtra Governor and veteran BJP leader C.P. Radhakrishnan. Backed by 427 MPs—well above the majority mark of 386—the NDA appears poised for a comfortable win. However, the Opposition INDIA bloc, rallying behind retired Supreme Court judge B. Sudershan Reddy, remains hopeful of a surprise outcome, banking on conscience votes, abstentions, and cross-party dissent.

The election, triggered by the unexpected resignation of Vice President Jagdeep Dhankhar in July 2025 due to health reasons, has evolved into a prestige battle between Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s NDA and the Rahul Gandhi-led INDIA alliance. With voting underway in the new Parliament building, the outcome will not only fill the second-highest constitutional post but also signal the strength and cohesion of political alliances in the run-up to the 2026 general elections.


🧭 Vice President Election 2025: Key Numbers and Voting Dynamics

CategoryTotal MPsExpected VotesMajority Mark
Lok Sabha (including 1 vacancy)542541
Rajya Sabha (including 5 vacancies)239234
Total Voting Strength781~770386
NDA Support425427 (with YSRCP)
INDIA Bloc Support324354 (with AIMIM, independents)
AbstentionsBJD, BRS, SADCould impact margins

The Vice President is elected through a secret ballot using the single transferable vote system, allowing MPs to vote beyond party lines.


🔍 Candidate Profiles: Radhakrishnan vs Reddy

Candidate NameAllianceBackgroundStrategic Appeal
C.P. RadhakrishnanNDAFormer BJP MP, Governor of MaharashtraAdministrative experience, party loyalty
B. Sudershan ReddyINDIA BlocRetired Supreme Court judge, ex-LokayuktaIntegrity, constitutional neutrality

Both candidates hail from southern India, adding regional weight to the contest.


📉 Why NDA Is Confident of Victory

  • Numerical Advantage: With 427 MPs, including support from YSRCP (11 MPs), NDA comfortably crosses the majority threshold.
  • Strategic Coordination: The NDA held workshops, mock polls, and a dinner hosted by PM Modi to ensure 100% attendance and correct voting procedures.
  • Polling Agents: Senior leaders like Ram Mohan Naidu (TDP), Sanjay Kumar Jha (JD(U)), and Kiren Rijiju have been appointed to oversee NDA’s polling logistics.

The NDA’s focus is on minimizing invalid votes and preventing cross-voting, especially since no whip applies in this election.


🔥 Why the Opposition Still Hopes for a Twist

  • Conscience Voting: The INDIA bloc has urged MPs to vote based on constitutional values, not party loyalty.
  • Cross-Voting Potential: Past instances, like BJP MP Rajiv Pratap Rudy defeating a high-command-backed candidate, fuel speculation of internal dissent.
  • Symbolic Contest: Even if the INDIA bloc loses, narrowing the margin could signal cracks in NDA’s dominance and boost morale ahead of 2026.

Justice Reddy’s campaign emphasizes restoring parliamentary dignity and reasoned debate, appealing to MPs across ideological lines.


🧠 Expert Commentary on Election Stakes

Expert NameRoleComment
Meera IyerConstitutional Analyst“This election is less about numbers and more about legitimacy and perception.”
Rajiv BansalPolitical Strategist“The INDIA bloc is playing a long game—every vote counts toward narrative building.”
Dr. Rakesh SinhaHistorian of Indian Democracy“Cross-voting, if it happens, will be a signal of shifting loyalties within Parliament.”

Experts agree that the Vice President’s role as Rajya Sabha Chairperson makes this election constitutionally significant.


📦 Role and Relevance of the Vice President

Constitutional RoleDescription
Ex-Officio Rajya Sabha ChairPresides over upper house proceedings
Second in Line to PresidencyActs as President in absence or vacancy
Symbol of Parliamentary BalanceExpected to uphold neutrality and decorum

The Vice President plays a pivotal role in managing legislative debates and ensuring procedural integrity.


📅 Timeline of Election Events

EventDateImportance
Nomination Filing DeadlineAugust 21, 2025Formalization of candidates
Campaign PeriodAugust 22–Sept 8Alliance coordination and appeals
Voting DaySeptember 9, 2025MPs cast votes from 10 AM to 5 PM
Counting and ResultsSeptember 9, 2025Results expected by evening

Polling is being held at Vasudha Hall in Parliament House, with results to be declared tonight.


📌 Conclusion

With the NDA holding a clear numerical edge, C.P. Radhakrishnan is widely expected to become India’s next Vice President. Yet, the Opposition’s strategic push for conscience votes and cross-party support adds intrigue to what could have been a routine election. As MPs cast their ballots today, the outcome will not only determine the occupant of the second-highest constitutional office but also reflect the evolving dynamics of India’s parliamentary politics.

Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available election data, news reports, and expert commentary as of September 9, 2025. It is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute political advice or endorsement.

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